Colin Turkington goes into tomorrow's first of three races with a thirteen point advantage over his nearest rival, Fabrizio Giovanardi. We assess his chances of stopping the Italian taking a third straight title.

Turkington, 27, has shown great maturity this season as he has mixed with experienced touring car names such as Giovnardi, Plato and Neal. He has got to grips with the rear-wheel drive BMW, using its start-line advantage to great effect. He also has a knack of keeping on the road when leading or under-pressure, unlike other BTCC youngsters. This will be important tomorrow in case Giovanardi eats into his advantage early on in the day.

Both Turkington and Giovanardi must watch out for Jason Plato, who does have a 28 point deficit to make up, but a collision for Colin or Gio could hand it to Plato on a plate. The title would be a great acheivement after only getting the RML Chevrolet deal together days before the start of the season.

Who do you think will win the title? Vote in the poll on the right-hand side or leave a comment.

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